![]() ![]() "The winter resurgence is beginning."Īssuming no dramatically different new variant emerges, it appears highly unlikely this year's surge would get as severe as the last two years in terms of severe disease and deaths. ![]() "We're seeing the northern rim of the country beginning to show some evidence of increasing transmission," Rubin says. David Rubin, the director of the PolicyLab at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, which tracks the pandemic. "It's really too early to say something big is happening, but it's something that we're keeping an eye on," says Amy Kirby, national wastewater surveillance program lead at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.īut infections and even hospitalizations have started rising in some of the same parts of New England, as well as some other northern areas, such as the Pacific Northwest, according to Dr. ![]() That could an early-warning sign of what's coming, though overall the virus is declining nationally. For example, the levels of virus being detected in wastewater are up in some parts of the country, such in Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Vermont and other parts of the Northeast. is already starting to see early signs of that. "If it is immune escape across several variants with convergent evolution, the outlook for the U.S. "If it is mostly just behavioral changes and climate, we might be able to avoid similar upticks if there is broad uptake of the bivalent vaccine," Lessler says. In addition, different countries have different levels of immunity. That's because it's not clear whether Europe's rising cases are related to people's greater susceptibility to new subvariants they've not yet been exposed to. experience will echo Europe's, says Justin Lessler, an epidemiologist at the University of North Carolina who helps run the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub. It adds uncertainty about what we can expect in the coming weeks and the coming months." "We look around the world and see countries such as Germany and France are seeing increases as we speak," says Lauren Ancel Meyers, director of the UT COVID-19 Modeling Consortium at the University of Texas at Austin. In fact, scientists are watching a menagerie of new omicron subvariants that have emerged recently that appear to be even better at dodging immunity. Shots - Health News Scientists debate how lethal COVID is. "So I think the bottom line message for us in this country is: We have to be prepared for what they are beginning to see in Europe." "In the past, what's happened in Europe often has been a harbinger for what's about to happen in the United States," says Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota. Infections have been rising in many European countries, including the U.K., France, and Italy. ![]() The first hint of what could be in store is what's happening in Europe. has been gently declining from a fairly high plateau.īut as the weather cools and people start spending more time inside, where the virus spreads more easily, the risks of a resurgence increase. The number of people getting infected, hospitalized and dying from COVID in the U.S. So far, no national surge has started yet. heads into a third pandemic winter, the first hints are emerging that another possible surge of COVID-19 infections could be on its way. Sarah Reingewirtz/ MediaNews Group/ Los Angeles Daily News via Getty ImagesĪs the U.S. Health experts say getting more people boosted could help stave off a winter COVID surge. The new bivalent COVID-19 booster is offered by the Los Angeles County Department of Public Health. ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |